Tuesday, November 30, 2010

And Then There Was One...

The last county with votes in CA-11 certified its results today, and incumbent Democrat Jerry McNerney defeated David Harmer by just 1.1%.  The liberal local New York paper's current count of the House is 242-192, for a swing of 63.

Only the NY-01 race remains undecided.  Incumbent Democrat Timothy Bishop leads his Republican challenger Randy Altschuler by 214 or 215 votes -- depending on whether you accept the Bishop camp's numbers or Altschuler's -- but a recount seems likely.

By the way, NY-01 contains Port Jefferson, my daughter-in-law Laura's home until she went off to college in Washington, DC, as well as some little burgs known as The Hamptons where some well-to-do folks from The City have summer homes and choose to vote -- in at least one case for a second time -- to balance the more conservative locals.

Of course, I want Altschuler to win for the extra margin in the House, but if he does, the Republican gain in the House will be 64, exactly in line with my last prediction here.