Philosophical Keys

The philosophy of economic liberty is that an economic system where individuals are free to make their own choices and reap the rewards of their efforts and penalties of their decisions is both more productive for all and morally superior to one that makes the collective decision to enforce greater equality of economic result.

This philosophical judgment at the core of all their beliefs is what separates the two great parties of America. 

Vulnerable Seats by Poll Closing Time

David Keating of the Club for Growth has compiled a very large list of vulnerable Congressional seats -- almost all Democrat.  "What I need," I thought, "is a list of poll closing times so I can add them to this list and sort by that."

The Doubt of the Obamites

Here is Margery Eagan, a self-identified 2008 Obamite, expressing doubt that our progressivist President knows the way out of the ditch he blames the Republicans for putting us in.

Tea Partiers Focus on Spending and the Constitution

Thursday, the Washington Post backed off the criticism of the Tea Party as racist buffoons a bit by reporting a study on the signs of the Freedomworks' sponsored 9/12/2010 march on the Capitol. 

Susana es una Tejana. Y Ya Esta Bien!

Democrats in New Mexico find themselves facing their worst political nightmare.  Susana Martinez is a savvy, energetic, likeable Republican who happens to be a Hispanic.  She leads Bill Richardson's handpicked candidate by nearly ten points in the race to replace the peripatetic ex-Congressman-Ambassador-Secretary as Governor of New Mexico.

Greece as a Model (Part IV)

It seems clear today to a substantial majority of the electorate that we must cut government spending if we want to restore our once vibrant economy.

A growing part of that problem is that state and local public employees -- and union members -- often retire at age 50 from jobs that aren't disabling or even debilitating.  In allowing them to do so, we create a stifling burden on the rest of society.  Those people are productive resources shifted into idle that the productive remainder must carry whether through taxation or borrowing.

Nate Silver's Election Forcasts

Last night I gave you my current forecast of the 2011 House based on a model I'm following, and using the generic Congressional ballot poll results reported on RealClearPolitics.

The numerical technology used in that model is similar to that used by Nate Silver of what once was FiveThirtyEight.com.  Since the liberal local New York Paper (LLNYP) now owns Silver's website, you can find his forecasts here.  His predictions are very detailed, and are reported as probabilities, e.g., he reports that Pearce has a 70% chance of winning NM-2.  Local knowledge tells us to discount the polls Silver's forecast relies on here, a bias he calls house effect and adjusts for when he has previous knowledge of it.